Publikationen
Forschung zu KI-Agenten, Backtesting und Prüfung von Marktprognosen sowie zur Architektur der Plattform.
Sport
AI keeps promising to beat sports betting markets. What a betting exchange really is, the one man who genuinely beat the odds, why the math is brutal — and what AI actually changes.
6 Min. Lesezeit8 Abschnitte
In Wahrscheinlichkeiten denken
A prior is your starting belief before new evidence arrives. What priors are, why they make or break forecasts, and how to build one — explained in plain English with football examples.
4 Min. Lesezeit6 Abschnitte
Fallstricke von Modellen
Learn how AI models identify unusual patterns in market data — from statistical baselines to deep learning. Education, not trading advice.
7 Min. Lesezeit7 Abschnitte
In Wahrscheinlichkeiten denken
Learn what a prior is in Bayesian forecasting, how it shapes predictions, and why it matters for AI-driven market analysis. Jargon-free explanation.
7 Min. Lesezeit8 Abschnitte
Sport
How do AI models predict the 2026 FIFA World Cup? A clear breakdown of methodology, probability distributions, and the transparency gap in AI forecasting systems.
1 Min. Lesezeit2 Abschnitte
Fallstricke von Modellen
Learn the key warning signs of overfitted financial models, the tests that expose them, and why transparency in any AI-driven market tool is non-negotiable.
7 Min. Lesezeit7 Abschnitte
In Wahrscheinlichkeiten denken
Volatility and risk are not the same thing. Understanding the difference can change how you think about markets, decisions, and uncertainty itself.
8 Min. Lesezeit8 Abschnitte
In Wahrscheinlichkeiten denken
Learn how professional forecasters use Bayesian thinking, signal filtering, and calibration to update beliefs with new data — and why it matters in markets.
7 Min. Lesezeit9 Abschnitte
Fallstricke von Modellen
Learn what explainable AI means in finance: how XAI works, why transparency in algorithms matters, and what it changes for market participants.
7 Min. Lesezeit7 Abschnitte
Krypto und Märkte
Learn what crypto order flow really means, how to read it, and why it matters for understanding market structure — no hype, no signals, just clarity.
9 Min. Lesezeit10 Abschnitte
Beweisbarkeit
Learn how blockchain technology creates immutable, auditable financial data — and why transparency is becoming the default standard in modern finance.
7 Min. Lesezeit8 Abschnitte
In Wahrscheinlichkeiten denken
Learn how to read probability distributions in markets — from bell curves to skew and fat tails — and use them to make more structured, informed decisions.
8 Min. Lesezeit8 Abschnitte
