Publications
Research on AI agents, backtesting and audits of market forecasts, and the platform's architecture.
Prediction markets
A research-backed look at prediction market accuracy — what they get right, where they fail, and what the evidence means for market intelligence.
8 min read6 sections
Prediction markets
Polls measure stated intent. Prediction markets price real belief. We compare how each works, where each fails, and what AI adds to modern forecasting.
7 min read6 sections
Prediction markets
A clear, in-depth guide to how prediction markets work — from contract mechanics and price signals to the wisdom of crowds and its limits.
7 min read9 sections
Prediction markets
Prediction markets turn future events into tradeable contracts. Learn how they work, why they outperform polls, and how AI is reshaping market forecasting.
8 min read9 sections
