دیگر4 منٹ کا مطالعہ6 سیکشنز
7,426 forecasts against Polymarket: exactly where the market beat our models
خلاصہ
On the 7,048 calls that have resolved, the market scores 0.161 and our models score 0.194. The market wins. This post is about where it wins, because the answer is more specific, and more useful, than "markets are efficient".




