記事
AIエージェントの研究、市場予測のバックテストと監査、プラットフォームのアーキテクチャ。
モデルの落とし穴
Thinkingbox runs 507 stateful business workflows past AI agents 20 times each and reports pass^20, not just pass@1. The strongest model solves 66.50% on one attempt and 47.53% on all twenty; another posts 89.35% pass@20 and 7.50% pass^20. What that gap means for agents running unattended, why the attempts are not coin flips, and how to measure your own.
読了時間 11分9セクション
モデルの落とし穴
Slide a window across price history and you get thousands of samples. Almost none of them are independent. Here is the arithmetic, measured on real Binance history, and what it means for every confidence interval you have ever published.
読了時間 7分7セクション
モデルの落とし穴
Regime shift is the most common way machine learning fails in production, and backtests average it away. A worked example with real numbers from our own board, and four habits that catch it before the results do.
読了時間 5分6セクション
モデルの落とし穴
Survivorship bias is the error of studying only the winners because the losers have quietly disappeared from the data. Here is how it distorts financial results and how to guard against it.
読了時間 4分5セクション
モデルの落とし穴
Backtesting runs a strategy against historical data to see how it would have performed. Here is what it really measures, why a great backtest is so easy to fake, and what an honest one looks like.
読了時間 4分5セクション
モデルの落とし穴
A model that looks spectacular on historical data is the easiest thing to build and the hardest to trust. What overfitting is, why it fools you, and the only test that cannot be gamed.
読了時間 4分5セクション
モデルの落とし穴
Learn how AI models identify unusual patterns in market data — from statistical baselines to deep learning. Education, not trading advice.
読了時間 7分7セクション
モデルの落とし穴
Learn the key warning signs of overfitted financial models, the tests that expose them, and why transparency in any AI-driven market tool is non-negotiable.
読了時間 7分7セクション
モデルの落とし穴
Learn what explainable AI means in finance: how XAI works, why transparency in algorithms matters, and what it changes for market participants.
読了時間 7分7セクション
モデルの落とし穴
Data leakage in ML quietly inflates accuracy and destroys real-world performance. Learn what it is, why it happens, and how to detect and prevent it.
読了時間 7分8セクション
モデルの落とし穴
Learn what a confusion matrix is, how to read one, and why it matters more than accuracy alone when evaluating machine learning models.
読了時間 6分8セクション
モデルの落とし穴
Learn what feature importance means in AI trading models, why it matters for transparency, and how to interpret it without being a data scientist.
読了時間 8分8セクション
モデルの落とし穴
A technical breakdown of how modern AI models handle financial time series — from raw price feeds to pattern recognition, uncertainty, and transparency.
読了時間 8分9セクション
