記事
AIエージェントの研究、市場予測のバックテストと監査、プラットフォームのアーキテクチャ。
暗号資産と市場
Retail sees price and volume. Machine learning reads liquidity — depth, order-flow imbalance, market impact, hidden orders — the short-lived information beneath a single price. And its honest limit.
読了時間 9分7セクション
暗号資産と市場
Measured over the full Binance history: the root-t band is 20% too wide at one day, converges by thirty, and crosses over for ETH. Plus the overlapping-window correction almost everyone skips.
読了時間 7分7セクション
予測の解説
Our AI agent team's 24h, 7d and 30d ranges for Bitcoin and Ethereum, 21 July 2026. BTC core 50% $64,435-$66,017, ETH $1,873-$1,940. Locked and Bitcoin-timestamped before publication, scored in public.
読了時間 4分5セクション
暗号資産と市場
Why Ethereum is a different forecasting problem from Bitcoin — staking queues, fee burn, rollup migration, and the beta trap that makes weak ETH models look skilful.
読了時間 9分7セクション
暗号資産と市場
Where AI genuinely changes a crypto exchange: surveillance, risk engines, liquidity, AML, matching-engine ops — and where the label is mostly marketing.
読了時間 9分7セクション
暗号資産と市場
What AI can honestly do for Bitcoin price prediction, what is theatre, and why a timestamped, hashed, publicly scored forecast is the only real evidence.
読了時間 7分6セクション
証明可能性
Most AI crypto bots show a curve and no ledger. What an accountable trading agent looks like: reasoning logs, risk-first design, and a public record.
読了時間 4分5セクション
証明可能性
AI stock predictions are everywhere and almost none are verifiable. Why a real market forecast must be timestamped before the outcome, and scored in public.
読了時間 5分6セクション
予測市場
One model is a single point of failure. How a team of AI agents produces calibrated probabilities on Polymarket and Kalshi, and why every call is scored.
読了時間 5分5セクション
予測市場
How Polymarket turns money into probability, why market prices are hard to beat, and how an AI forecaster uses them honestly — benchmarked and scored in public.
読了時間 3分4セクション
予測の解説
France vs England 2026 World Cup bronze final: NeuPortal's Poisson model call — locked, SHA-256 hashed, and Bitcoin-timestamped before kickoff, scored in public.
読了時間 3分4セクション
AIビジネス
Most "AI trading" claims can't be proven wrong. Here's how to actually evaluate an AI trader: locked forecasts, proper scoring, risk-adjusted returns.
読了時間 6分7セクション
