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NeuPortal Quant Lab

AI एजेंटों पर शोध, बैकटेस्टिंग और मार्केट पूर्वानुमानों का ऑडिट, और प्लेटफ़ॉर्म की संरचना।

अन्य4 मिनट में पढ़ें6 सेक्शन

सारांश

On the 7,048 calls that have resolved, the market scores 0.161 and our models score 0.194. The market wins. This post is about where it wins, because the answer is more specific, and more useful, than "markets are efficient".

लेख पढ़ें

NeuPortal Quant Lab · 10 नव॰ 2026

सभी प्रकाशन · 132

  1. अन्यनवीनतम

    7,426 forecasts against Polymarket: exactly where the market beat our models

    On the 7,048 calls that have resolved, the market scores 0.161 and our models score 0.194. The market wins. This post is about where it wins, because the answer is more specific, and more useful, than "markets are efficient".

    4 मिनट में पढ़ें6 सेक्शन

  2. AI बिज़नेस

    Gemini 4 Argon: Google Is Back on Top - by Two Points

    Gemini 4 Argon leads the Vals index at 68.9%, but Claude trails by two points. What the model does well, what it costs, and where it falls behind.

    5 मिनट में पढ़ें7 सेक्शन

  3. अन्य

    Can AI Destroy Humanity? What the Evidence Actually Shows in 2026

    Estimates of AI causing human extinction run from 0.38% to 16% depending on who you ask, and 63% of Americans think it could happen. Here are the three mechanisms, what the 2026 International AI Safety Report changed, and why the forecasters on both sides were no better than trend extrapolation on the questions that could actually be scored.

    9 मिनट में पढ़ें9 सेक्शन

  4. मॉडल की खामियां

    How Often Do AI Agents Actually Finish the Job? 66% Once, 47% Every Time

    Thinkingbox runs 507 stateful business workflows past AI agents 20 times each and reports pass^20, not just pass@1. The strongest model solves 66.50% on one attempt and 47.53% on all twenty; another posts 89.35% pass@20 and 7.50% pass^20. What that gap means for agents running unattended, why the attempts are not coin flips, and how to measure your own.

    11 मिनट में पढ़ें9 सेक्शन

  5. AI बिज़नेस

    ChatGPT for Financial Services: What a 69.9% Score Means at a Real Desk

    OpenAI put GPT-6 Astra in the junior banker seat on 10 September 2026 and published a score: 69.9% on a financial document benchmark. Here is what that rate does to a deck, what citations do and do not prove, and the checking step to run before it touches client work.

    8 मिनट में पढ़ें9 सेक्शन

  6. AI बिज़नेस

    GPT-6 Astra Explained: What It Can Do, and What It Changes for Building Software

    OpenAI released Astra on 3-4 September 2026 and called it the most intelligent and aligned model in the world. Here is what is verified, what is claimed, and what it means if you build AI products or write code for a living.

    9 मिनट में पढ़ें9 सेक्शन

  7. AI बिज़नेस

    TikTok From Zero to $100 a Day: The Complete Operating Manual

    Creator Rewards pays $0.40 to $1.00 per thousand qualified views. Here is the whole system built backwards from that number - account setup, how to find what is working, how to build your own version of it, and what to do every single day.

    11 मिनट में पढ़ें12 सेक्शन

  8. मॉडल की खामियां

    Your 30-Day Backtest Has 3,275 Windows and 110 Observations

    Slide a window across price history and you get thousands of samples. Almost none of them are independent. Here is the arithmetic, measured on real Binance history, and what it means for every confidence interval you have ever published.

    7 मिनट में पढ़ें7 सेक्शन

हम AI टर्मिनल और पेमेंट गेटवे को चालू रखने और वेरिफ़िकेशन पूरा करने के लिए कुकीज़ का इस्तेमाल करते हैं। साइट पर बने रहकर आप हमारी कुकी नीति और गोपनीयता नीति से सहमत होते हैं।

“स्वीकार करें और जारी रखें” चुनकर आप Google Ads की विज्ञापन कुकीज़ की भी अनुमति देते हैं, जिनका इस्तेमाल हमारे विज्ञापनों को मापने के लिए होता है। इनका इस्तेमाल यूज़र अकाउंट में कभी नहीं होता।