Ấn phẩm
Nghiên cứu về tác nhân AI, kiểm thử lịch sử và kiểm tra dự báo thị trường, và kiến trúc nền tảng.
Crypto và thị trường
The 20 biggest AI and chip stocks lost over $1 trillion in one week. Hedge funds dumped AI for five sessions straight while retail poured a record $3.9B into 3x chip ETFs.
5 phút đọc6 phần
Crypto và thị trường
MEV is one of the few places where machine learning has a defensible job, because the task is simulation and classification rather than price prediction. But private order flow makes every public-data study a lower bound of unknown tightness.
6 phút đọc6 phần
Crypto và thị trường
Most depegs that matter are plumbing wearing the costume of solvency. What machine learning can genuinely do with stablecoin data, why depeg prediction breaks on rare events, and how supply works as a regime descriptor rather than a signal.
6 phút đọc6 phần
Crypto và thị trường
Funding rates and open interest describe how levered a market is and what that position costs to hold. They forecast the size of coming moves, not the direction - and the data is full of traps that quietly wreck studies. What AI can honestly extract.
6 phút đọc6 phần
Crypto và thị trường
On-chain data is the only complete dataset in markets - no survivorship bias, no vendor filter. It is also built on unvalidated address labels and a handful of independent cycles. What AI can honestly do with a blockchain, and what it cannot.
7 phút đọc7 phần
Crypto và thị trường
Direction is the AI forecast everyone wants and a liquid market defeats. How far an asset can move is the one machine learning can make - and prove. Why sigma-root-t is wrong in both directions, and what coverage really tests.
7 phút đọc7 phần
Crypto và thị trường
Everyone chases AI that predicts price. The place machine learning genuinely earns its keep is risk management — volatility, position sizing, drawdown, liquidation. Measurable, unglamorous, honest.
9 phút đọc7 phần
Crypto và thị trường
Retail sees price and volume. Machine learning reads liquidity — depth, order-flow imbalance, market impact, hidden orders — the short-lived information beneath a single price. And its honest limit.
9 phút đọc7 phần
Crypto và thị trường
Measured over the full Binance history: the root-t band is 20% too wide at one day, converges by thirty, and crosses over for ETH. Plus the overlapping-window correction almost everyone skips.
7 phút đọc7 phần
Crypto và thị trường
Why Ethereum is a different forecasting problem from Bitcoin — staking queues, fee burn, rollup migration, and the beta trap that makes weak ETH models look skilful.
9 phút đọc7 phần
Crypto và thị trường
Where AI genuinely changes a crypto exchange: surveillance, risk engines, liquidity, AML, matching-engine ops — and where the label is mostly marketing.
9 phút đọc7 phần
Crypto và thị trường
What AI can honestly do for Bitcoin price prediction, what is theatre, and why a timestamped, hashed, publicly scored forecast is the only real evidence.
7 phút đọc6 phần
Crypto và thị trường
How AI detects crypto volatility regimes using realized volatility, clustering, and time-series models — and why the honest output is uncertainty, not price targets.
6 phút đọc7 phần
